Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2313.991961 2501.770834 2690.152676 2893.003018 3104.948620 3319.563179 3553.005548
2026-02-08 2001.974082 2282.968475 2573.651993 2895.633370 3241.136034 3599.653501 3998.703583
2026-02-15 1777.636211 2114.397580 2471.171247 2874.837721 3316.485516 3782.784101 4310.119804
2026-02-22 1650.698236 2033.229570 2446.460950 2921.977681 3450.157818 4015.237856 4661.936163
2026-03-01 1526.802749 1943.155618 2401.090209 2936.165837 3538.520660 4190.428215 4944.164016
2026-03-08 1398.333813 1838.069274 2330.286163 2913.881312 3579.174137 4306.910312 5156.206437
2026-03-15 1272.073980 1727.273597 2245.758749 2869.299494 3588.738709 4383.652161 5319.446582
2026-03-22 1246.680849 1732.771580 2293.352219 2974.255499 3766.430262 4647.726884 5691.319505
2026-03-29 1192.320129 1699.620705 2292.496561 3020.237590 3874.281100 4831.164927 5971.107595
2026-04-05 1124.785700 1646.496652 2264.714779 3031.784777 3939.925164 4964.675065 6192.796850
2026-04-12 1054.793639 1586.625243 2225.750224 3027.342126 3984.612511 5072.322973 6383.482230
2026-04-19 995.543538 1537.258326 2197.037915 3032.941920 4039.248619 5189.995052 6584.497821
2026-04-26 923.593416 1469.494697 2144.517097 3009.408702 4059.860526 5269.463812 6743.696310
2026-05-03 868.622979 1421.416160 2114.638835 3012.029304 4110.689415 5383.690847 6943.085763
2026-05-10 806.982936 1361.363752 2067.131255 2990.724160 4130.914099 5460.543022 7097.805039
2026-05-17 779.973235 1346.673454 2076.371317 3039.014223 4234.713768 5635.624362 7367.186098
2026-05-24 740.652566 1313.081197 2059.688611 3053.547122 4296.408446 5760.084707 7576.698716
2026-05-31 688.767310 1259.404704 2014.803717 3030.720835 4310.892173 5827.194548 7717.755335
2026-06-07 631.441573 1195.103366 1953.584231 2985.050310 4295.488549 5857.151347 7813.700373
2026-06-14 635.380363 1219.718764 2011.280839 3092.559090 4470.769721 6117.178675 8183.838141
2026-06-21 617.001239 1210.494962 2022.675848 3139.648483 4570.352860 6285.673835 8444.964183
2026-06-28 587.015788 1182.566393 2007.616811 3151.472705 4625.129276 6399.487246 8640.537268
2026-07-05 553.046524 1146.984467 1980.833918 3146.923517 4658.505571 6486.727300 8803.890502